Beyond all the condemnations and praise from erstwhile foes who mercilessly lampooned the Muslim-Muslim ticket he rode into Aso Rock, it’s my humble opinion that Tinubu knows exactly what he’s doing and it shows in his seemingly uncaring demeanour despite all the protests in different parts of the country.
The likes of Senator Ali Ndume may not know it now, but the die is cast, and we may have already crossed the Rubicon!
In 2027, the political scenario would be like this: Tinubu will bank on the Soutwest voting bloc on tribal sentiments alone. Southern solidarity and ancestral ties will also ensure that he encounters a few problems in the South-South where he can count on the likes of Wike as the principal enforcers.
Decades long animosities in the north will also ensure that Benue, Plateau, Taraba, and Christian minorities in Southern Kaduna and Adamawa will require little prompting to join his bandwagon.
What Tinubu cannot guarantee will be the South-East because of the Obi factor, but even he (Obi) could be open to negotiations.
If there’s anything that Tinubu has proved beyond all reasonable doubts in his political odyssey It’s the fact that his principal strategy for power acquisition and utilisation is essentially transactional. It even showed in the quality and composition of his cabinet.
In that context, therefore, by 2027, the mainly Muslim North will stand alone in opposition.
My strategic mind also tells me that all these schemes are not evolving in a vacuum. The unfolding events may well be the prelude to the political/economic restructuring of the nation.
There could be a method to the seeming madness unfolding in the land.
@Muhammad Al-Ghazali
